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Comprehensive Plan Public School Facilities Element <br />Indian River County School Utilization <br />The projected student enrollment data were used to determine the need for school <br />facilities in light of the growing demands on public schools because of new residential <br />development. An evaluation of Indian River County's current school enrollment and <br />capacity in conjunction with projected student enrollment provided a determination of <br />surpluses and deficiencies over the long-term planning period. To accommodate the <br />projected future student growth, additional capacity projects were added to the School <br />District's Capital Facilities Plan through school year 2011-12. These additional capacity <br />projects were used to balance future enrollment by redistributing students from their <br />existing schools to their future schools. Tables 12.8 — 12.11 shows the details of this <br />analysis. <br />Long Term Student Enrollment Projections <br />Long term student enrollment projections are provided in Table 12.12 and were prepared <br />to provide insight into potential school needs in the years beyond school year 2013-14. <br />Those projections are based on an assumed annual growth rate beyond the 2013-14 <br />school year of 1.9%. This is a percentage that takes into account fluctuations in the <br />growth rate that the County may experience. The assumed 1.9% long term growth rate <br />for public schools is less than the assumed long term population growth rate used in the <br />County's population projections because not all new residents that move to the County <br />will bring children with them. In addition, the long term projections are generalized and <br />do not take into account unforeseen circumstances. For instance, if a large manufacturing <br />plant re -locates to the County and brings with it 2,000 new jobs, workers may relocate to <br />the County from other areas of the state and country to fill those jobs. Those workers <br />may then have families that they bring with them which would attend public schools. <br />Overall, the long term student enrollment projections show an increase of 3,285 <br />elementary students, 1,711 middle school students, and 1,847 high school students <br />between school years 2015-16 to 2030-31. <br />Community Development Department Indian River County <br />21 <br />