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Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element <br />In the past, Indian River County accommodated a significant seasonal population that is expected to <br />increase even further in the future. Factors that contribute to seasonal population growth include <br />Indian River County's mild climate, variety of natural resources, coastal location, and wide variety <br />of recreational and social activities. <br />While not developed as a major tourist area, Indian River County can be expected to attract an <br />increasing number of tourists in the coming years. Some of the factors contributing to the growth of <br />tourism are the ideal winter climate; access to beaches, water facilities and other recreation facilities; <br />and proximity to other major attractions in the state. <br />As a key component of the local economy, agriculture has an effect on seasonal population. Because <br />of the seasonal nature of citrus production, the number of migrant laborers generally increase during <br />the peak harvesting season. <br />The balance of the seasonal population consists of the short-term and long-term visitors/residents <br />drawn to the county for the same general reasons as tourists. Many of these people are of retirement <br />age, and their numbers can be expected to increase as that segment of the U.S. population increases. <br />To determine seasonal population, the county calculated the peak season populations of lodging <br />establishments (hotels and motels); recreational vehicle (RV) parks and campgrounds; visitors with <br />family, friends, and relatives; migrant labor camps; and part -year residents. <br />Lodging Establishments <br />For estimation of the number of persons using county lodging establishments during peak season, <br />the following formula was used. <br />(number of units) X (peak season occupancy rate) X(average number ofpersons per occupied room) <br />Through a study based on census and survey data, the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) <br />projects the number of hotel/motel units in the county. Those projections are made in five year <br />increments. <br />Based on a 1987 survey conducted by the County's Planning Division, the peak season occupancy <br />rate was estimated to be 90%. Research indicates that the average number of persons per occupied <br />room is 1.8. <br />According to those figures, 3,614 persons/day will use county lodging establishments during the <br />peak season in 2010. Additionally, the county now projects that 4,100 persons/day will use county <br />lodging establishments during the 2030 peak season. <br />Projections for future peak season hotel/motel visitors were calculated using 1987 occupancy rates <br />and persons per room as well as a 75 unit increase in hotel rooms for each five year period. <br />Community Development Department Indian River County <br />24 <br />