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The Palmer Drought Index has become the semi-official <br />drought index. It is most effective in determining long term <br />drought—a matter of several months—and is not as good with <br />short-term forecasts (a matter of weeks). It uses a 0 as normal, <br />and drought is shown in terms of minus numbers; for example, <br />minus 2 is moderate drought, minus 3 is severe drought, and <br />minus 4 is extreme drought. The Palmer Index can also reflect <br />excess rain using a corresponding level reflected by plus <br />figures; i.e., 0 is normal, plus 2 is moderate rainfall, etc. <br />Another reference tool is the Keetch-Byram drought index <br />(KBDI), which is a continuous reference scale for estimating <br />the dryness of the soil and duff layers. The index increases for <br />each day without rain (the amount of increase depends on the <br />daily high temperature) and decreases when it rains. The scale <br />ranges from 0 (no moisture deficit) to 800 (prime drought <br />condition). The range of the index is determined by assuming <br />that there is 8 inches of moisture in a saturated soil that is <br />readily available to the vegetation. In November, 2009, the <br />lack of rainfall during rainy season led to Indian River County <br />being named the driest county in the state of Florida and, <br />according to the Florida Florida Forest Service, in danger of <br />wildfires. According to the Keetch Bryam Drought Index, the <br />county measured in at 649 when the normal range for that time <br />of year is 271-420. Indian River County could reasonably <br />expect to see a drought index of this magnitude. <br />k. Seismic Hazards (Dam/Levee Failure) – Hazard <br />Identification. Dam/levee failure poses a minor threat to <br />population and property in Indian River County. All dams and <br />levees are earthen structures and are State, regional, local, or <br />privately controlled. The most significant risk related to <br />dam/levee failure is flooding due to substantial rainfall and its <br />eastward migration to final discharge in the Indian River <br />Lagoon. Structural and non-structural techniques to slow and <br />contain this runoff incorporate several drainage systems. <br />Rainfall in excess of designed capacities could cause erosion <br />of constructed drainage facilities and flooding of many areas <br />including primary roadway evacuation routes (Indian River <br />County Emergency Management, 2002). According to the <br />National Inventory of Dams, there are five listed dams in Indian <br />River County (South Relief Structure, Lateral C Structure, Main <br />Canal Structure, North Relief Canal Structure, Lateral <br />Indian River County Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan Basic Page 49 <br />