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The system's financial performance has been historically solid, with above 2.0x DSC consistently <br />since 2009, and 3.3x Fitch -calculated DSC in fiscal 2015. The county's conservative management <br />maintains this positive coverage level as well as substantial cash reserves in an effort to guarantee <br />available cash for unforeseen system needs. Fitch -calculated unaudited coverage for fiscal 2016 is <br />expected to be 4.2x, and 3.7x and above through fiscal 2021 according to a management -provided <br />financial forecast. Based on historic performance and limited capital and expenditure needs, Fitch <br />expects that positive financial results will continue. <br />Liquidity is extremely strong, with the system ending fiscal 2015 with more than $37 million in <br />unrestricted cash on hand, equivalent to over 810 days of operating expenses. Unaudited fiscal <br />2016 results show an uptick in cash to over $43 million, equating to about 870 days on hand. <br />LOW DEBT, MANAGEABLE CAPITAL NEEDS <br />The system's low debt profile is a key credit strength. Debt per customer is just $380 in fiscal <br />2015, well below average compared to other similarly rated systems. Debt to net plant was also <br />low at just 14% for the same period, and debt amortization is well above average with 100% of <br />outstanding bonds retired within 10 years. <br />The county's four-year $37 million CIP is expected to be funded entirely with grants, impact fees, <br />assessments and existing cash. Historic capital spending since 2010 has been variable, with capital <br />expenditures (CapEx) relative to the rate of annual depreciation averaging only 41% during that <br />time. While Fitch views this level of CapEx as somewhat weak and possibly as an indicator of <br />deferred maintenance, the system underwent substantial capital investment in 2008 to ensure long- <br />term supply and capacity availability. The system's current and future capital needs are primarily <br />to address area growth, with several intermittent larger projects that are ably paid for with existing <br />and growing cash. <br />In addition, management restricts $3.5 million of cash annually solely for R&R so that resources <br />are always available to meet capital needs as they may arise. Fitch is comfortable with the level <br />of capital investment based on the system's abundance of available cash, ample debt -issuance <br />capacity, and affordable rate structure that would allow for additional revenue growth if necessary. <br />LOW CUSTOMER CHARGES <br />The average residential customer bill of $60 for combined service assuming 7,500 gallons of <br />use is affordable at 1.5% of median household income (MHI). Rates should stay competitive as <br />the county has a very manageable capital program that is expected to be funded with cash and <br />connection fees. Rates have not been raised since 1999, and though management has no plans to <br />raise them in the financial forecast, it is entitled to do so per a rate resolution should the necessity <br />arise. <br />ABUNDANT WATER SUPPLY AND SOUND INFRASTRUCTURE <br />The county's water and sewer system provides services to a mostly residential customer base of <br />approximately 47,000 water, and 27,000 sewer accounts as of fiscal 2015. There is no customer <br />concentration, and despite recent economic and housing market weakness, the county's mostly <br />residential customer base has been relatively stable. <br />Water is supplied through various wells from the Floridan Aquifer, with treatment provided by one <br />of two county -owned treatment facilities. The water treatment plants have a combined 20.1 million <br />gallonsper day (mgd) of treatment capacity, which is more than sufficient to meet the system's <br />average daily demand in fiscal 2015 of 9.2 mgd. Water use is regulated by the St. Johns Water <br />P6 <br />