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Indian River County, Florida Notes To Financial Statements Year Ended September 30, 2019 87 NOTE 13 - RETIREMENT PLAN - Continued Pension Plan - Continued Long-Term Expected Rate of Return: The long-term expected rate of return on pension plan investments are not based on historical returns, but instead are based on a forward-looking capital market economic model. The allocation policy’s description of each class was used to map the target allocation to the asset classes shown below. Each asset class assumption is based upon a consistent set of underlying assumptions and includes an adjustment for the inflation assumption. The target allocation and best estimates of arithmetic and geometric real rates of return for each major asset class are summarized in the following table: Asset Class Target Allocation Annual Arithmetic Return Compound Annual (Geometric) Return Standard Deviation Cash 1% 3.3% 3.3% 1.2% Fixed Income 18% 4.1% 4.1% 3.5% Global Equity 54% 8.0% 6.8% 16.5% Real Estate (Property) 10% 6.7% 6.1% 11.7% Private Equity 11% 11.2% 8.4% 25.8% Strategic Investments 6% 5.9% 5.7% 6.7% Total 100% Assumed inflation-mean 2.6% 1.7% Discount Rate for Pension Plan: The discount rate used to measure the total pension liability was 6.90%. The projection of cash flows used to determine the discount rate assumed that plan member contributions will be made at the current contribution rate and that the County’s contributions will be made at statutorily required rates, actuarially determined. Based on those assumptions, the Pension Plan's fiduciary net position was projected to be available to make all projected future benefit payments of current active and inactive employees if future experience follows assumptions and the actuarially determined contribution is contributed in full each year. Therefore, the discount rate for calculation of the total pension liability is equal to the long-term expected rate of return. Sensitivity of the County’s Proportionate Share of the Net Position Liability to Changes in the Discount Rate for the Pension Plan: The following presents the County’s proportionate share of the net pension liability (NPL) of the Pension Plan calculated using the discount rate of 6.90%. Also presented is what the County’s proportionate share of the FRS plan NPL would be if it were calculated using a discount rate that is 1% lower or 1% higher than the current rate: 1% Decrease Current Discount 1% Increase (5.90%) Rate (6.90%) (7.90%) County’s proportionate share of NPL $208,336,882 $120,518,805 $47,175,857