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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2010-252A (16)Indian River County 2030 Comprehensive Plan A . Id I Indian River County Community Development Department Adopted: October 12, 2010 Comprehensive Plan introductory Element Table of Contents Page Introduction 1 Location 1 Planning History 1 Planning Process and Public Participation 4 Population 6 Historic Population 8 Subgeographic Estimates and Projections 12 Components of Population Change 13 Characteristics of the Population 13 Age 14 Race 16 Education 17 Income 18 Households 19 Population Projections 20 Seasonal and Functional Population 23 Lodging Establishments 24 Recreational Vehicle Parks and Campgrounds 25 Visitors with Family, Friends and Relatives 26 Migrant Labor 27 Part -Year Residents 28 Economy 29 Unemployment 29 Employment 30 Appendix A 33 Appendix B 41 Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan introductory Element List of Tables Table Title Page 1.1 Historic Population 1930 - 2009 Indian River County 9 1.2 Population 1960 - 2009 Indian River County, the Treasure Coast and Florida 10 1.3 Percent Increase In Population 11 1.4 Indian River County Share of Population Growth of the Treasure Coast and Florida 12 1.5 Components of Population Change 1990-2007 13 1.6 Age of Population Indian River County 14 1.7 Percent of Population by Age Indian River County 15 1.8 Median Age 16 1.9 Racial Composition 1930-2007 Indian River County 16 1.10 Educational Achievement Persons 25 years and older (1980 - 2000)Years Completed by Percent 17 1.11 Per Capita Income (dollars) 18 1.12 Income and Poverty Status 19 1.13 Households and Persons Per Household 19 1.14 Population Projections Indian River County 21 1.15 Population Projections Indian River County, Treasure Coast, and Florida 22 1.16 Projected Percentage Rate of Change Indian River County, Treasure Coast, and Florida 2010-2030 22 1.17 Projected Population Change Indian River County, Treasure Coast, and Florida 23 1.18 Hotel/Motel Visitors 2010-2030 25 1.19 Projected Visitors in Recreational Vehicle Parks and Campgrounds 25 1.20 Visitors with Family, Friends and Relatives 26 1.21 Part -Time Residents Indian River County 28 1.22 Total Projected Seasonal Population Indian River County 28 1.23 Functional Population Projections For Indian River County 29 1.24 Unemployment Rate Indian River County and the State of Florida 30 1.25 Employment by Major Industrial Sector Indian River County 30 1.26 Indian River County's Largest Employers 31 Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan introductory Element List of Figures Figure Title Page 1.1 Florida and Indian River County 2 1.2 Municipalities and Census Designated Places Within IRC 7 Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Introduction This Introductory Element provides much of the information and data used in the Indian River County Comprehensive Plan. As such, this element provides background information concerning the historical development of the county and information common to, and necessary for, the development of the individual elements of the plan. A brief overview of previous planning efforts in the county and the general requirements of this planning initiative is also included. Location Located on the east coast of Florida in the Treasure Coast Region, Indian River County is bounded by Brevard County on the north, the Atlantic Ocean on the east, St. Lucie County on the south and Osceola and Okeechobee counties on the west. The county seat of Vero Beach is approximately 135 miles north of Miami, 140 miles east of Tampa, 100 miles southeast of Orlando and 200 miles south of Jacksonville. (see figure 1.1) In addition to the City of Vero Beach, there are four other municipalities in the county: the City of Sebastian, the City of Fellsmere, the Town of Indian River Shores and the Town of Orchid. While nearly two-thirds of the population resides in the unincorporated portion of the county, more than 90% of the county's residents live along the coast within 10 miles of the Atlantic Ocean. The land formation of the county is coastal lowland. Generally, lowlands are relatively flat areas with elevations of less than 25 feet above mean sea level. On the mainland area of the county, the key physical features are the St. Johns Marsh in the western portion of the county, the Ten Mile Ridge in the central part of the county, and the Atlantic Coastal Ridge in the east. Offshore, a barrier island extends the entire length of the county separated from the mainland by the Indian River Lagoon. The natural and physical features of the county are discussed in detail in the Conservation, Coastal Mana e� and Future Land Use Elements of the comprehensive plan. Planning History In Indian River County, early planning efforts were not as formalized as recent planning efforts, nor did those early plans have the force of law that current regulations possess. Those early endeavors were mostly undertaken by civic and business committees and sought solutions to individual problems or were confined to specific projects. Despite those early planning efforts, the first formalized land use regulation in the county did not occur until adoption of the 1957 Zoning Ordinance, which created districts, provided for the regulation of the use of land, and placed restrictions on the intensity of those uses. Community Development Department Indian River County 1 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element FIGURE 1.1 FLORIDA AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTY )� ;AL If-AHA3S9ft. T,y, �r `� I r 0 JACKSONVILLE fit 1 - �. but r o.F.rE-'IcO l < -1 AN¢� I INDIAN RIVER /1 TAMPA �� I 1 \ COUNTY _1_ _ _ kVero Bsoch �AlAbll 1 1 � 1.1 Community Development Department Vii• Indian River County 2 Comprehensive Plan introductory Element On May 29, 1975, the county adopted a comprehensive plan as a guide and advisory tool in the regulation and control of private property. Even with that plan, the legal control of development was still to be vested in the zoning, platting, and other specific ordinances adopted by the county. Also in 1975, the state enacted the Local Government Comprehensive Planning Act, which required the designation of a local planning agency as well as the development of a comprehensive plan. In response to that act, the Board of County Commissioners designated the Planning and Zoning Commission as the local planning agency and, in 1982, adopted a comprehensive plan that did have the force of law. After plan adoption, zoning, subdivision, and other land use regulations were required to conform to the plan. Pursuant to the state growth management act, amendments to the comprehensive plan were subject to review by regional and state agencies and could be submitted only twice annually. With adoption of the 1985 Local Government Comprehensive Planning and Land Development Regulation Act, commonly referred to as the Growth Management Act, the state expanded the scope of the comprehensive planning requirement in Florida even more. To implement the Growth Management Act, the state adopted Rule 9J-5 of the Florida Administrative Code. Together, those actions established a top down planning process in Florida, a process in which plans were developed first at both the state and regional levels. Consistent with state law, local governments had to develop and maintain adopted comprehensive plans which had to be consistent with both the intent and specific objectives set forth in the state and regional plans. Pursuant to the requirements of the 1985 Growth Management Act, Indian River County adopted its current comprehensive plan on February 13, 1990. Because the Growth Management Act and rule 9J-5 recognize that changing circumstances may necessitate amendments to comprehensive plans, amendments to the plan are allowed when certain criteria are met. Since plan adoption, Indian River County has amended its plan several times. Those amendments have ranged in significance from minor text changes to substantial future land use map changes. Another provision of state law recognizes that periodic assessment and evaluation is a required part of the planning process. For that reason, each of Florida's local governments is required to periodically submit an adopted Evaluation and Appraisal Report (EAR) to the State Department of Community Affairs (DCA). With the first post 1985 Growth Management Act round of EARs, local governments with 1992 populations of more than 2,500 persons had to submit their EAR's to DCA approximately seven years after plan adoption. Indian River County's first EAR was adopted on December 17, 1996. The 1996 EAR identified many changes necessary to update the plan to reflect new data, changes in state law, and new circumstances in the community. Those changes were incorporated into EAR based plan amendments, which were adopted in 1998. A second County EAR was adopted on November 18, 2008. Community Development Department Indian River County 3 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Under rule 9J-5, county plans must contain the following elements and sub -elements: Future Land Use; Transportation; Housing; Sanitary Sewer, Solid Waste, Stormwater Management, Potable Water; Natural Groundwater Aquifer Recharge; Coastal Management; Conservation; Recreation and Open Space; Intergovernmental Coordination; and Capital Improvements. Other elements may be included at the option of the local government. The Indian River County plan includes two optional elements, an Introductory Element and an Economic Development Element. In addition to establishing the required components of a local comprehensive plan, rule 9J-5 establishes minimum criteria for the preparation, review and compliance determination of comprehensive plans. Those requirements recognize that local governments will playa major role in accomplishing state and regional goals and policies. The regulations also mandate that local plans be based on the review and analysis of existing conditions, projected population and service demand, projected cost of service provision, and sources of revenue for the community. Planning Process and Public Participation In addition to complying with the technical requirements of preparing a comprehensive plan, local governments must provide opportunities for local citizens and property owners to participate in the development and adoption of their plans. In January 1988, the Board of County Commissioners adopted a Public Participation Plan that was used in the preparation of the county's comprehensive plan. That multifaceted plan provided for public education, public input during plan preparation and development, public hearings during the adoption process and general provisions to be followed throughout the planning process. The education component involved development of this Introductory Element of the plan as well as the presentation of this information to the public. To provide overall direction in the process of developing the plan, the Board of County Commissioners appointed the Planning and Zoning Commission as the designated local planning agency. The Board of County Commissioners also directed existing county boards and commissions, including the Planning and Zoning Commission, to provide direct input in the development of individual elements of the comprehensive plan. Among the Planning and Zoning Commission's responsibilities were: establishing broad goals; reviewing staff and other advisory group reports; conducting public meetings and hearings; and making plan adoption and plan amendment recommendations to the Board of County Commissioners. Complementing the role of the Planning and Zoning Commission, existing county boards and commissions were assigned primary responsibility for the development of individual elements. The groups were selected on the basis of their interest and technical knowledge of the issues associated Community Development Department Indian River County 4 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element with various individual elements. As existing advisory bodies to the county, these groups also possessed knowledge of county policies and regulations. The responsibilities of those primary review groups were: reviewing staff drafts and reports; conducting public meetings; and recommending draft elements to the Planning and Zoning Commission. Other civic and professional groups were also encouraged to participate in the development and review of the comprehensive plan by participating in the formal public review process as well as conducting their own reviews. Throughout the development and review of the plan, planning staff had the responsibility of providing the necessary coordination and support. That included: conducting research and analysis; preparing and presenting draft elements and reports; and conducting public meetings and workshops. Upon completion of the elements, the formal adoption process began. Pursuant to the requirements of Florida Statutes, the Planning and Zoning Commission held a public hearing and made its recommendations to the Board of County Commissioners. The County Commission then conducted a public hearing and transmitted the plan to DCA for state review. As structured, the public participation plan provided for the availability and inspection of documents by the public; the solicitation and encouragement of the public to provide written comments which were incorporated into the public record; and the provision of public notice of all meetings, workshops and hearings. Other efforts to keep the public informed included the issuance of press releases, the provision of information, and the maintenance of records pertaining to public review. Documents were posted on the County's website and were provided in hardcopy form as part of various meeting packets. Consistent with state law, plan amendments have been processed in a manner similar to the plan adoption process. Development of both EARs followed largely the same process as development of the comprehensive plan. That process is outlined in the third EAR Public Participation Plan, which the Board of County Commissioners adopted on June 20, 2006. Consistent with state law, the Planning and Zoning Commission, as the designated local planning agency, was primarily responsible for developing the EAR. Similar to the plan development process, county boards and commissions provided direct input in the development of the EAR for individual elements of the comprehensive plan. When all the EAR elements were complete, the Planning and Zoning commission approved the proposed EAR. Following two public workshops, the adopted EAR was approved by the Board of County Commissioners at a public hearing. Subsequently, EAR based amendments to the plan were adopted through the regular plan amendment process. Community Development Department Indian River County z Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Population One of the key components of any successful long-range planning effort is to accurately project future conditions and needs. In the development of a comprehensive plan, an understanding of the future population and the forces which influence population growth is essential. Before future population is projected, however, it is necessary to first analyze historic population levels and current population estimates and the trends. The following analysis addresses Indian River County's past, present, and future population characteristics. As structured, the population section focuses on three aspects: historic population, current trends, and population projections. Each of these builds upon the other to provide the foundation upon which the comprehensive plan rests. While the historic population analysis provides insight to the county's past development and growth, an assessment of current conditions provides the basis for formulating population projections. The focus of this comprehensive plan is the unincorporated portions of the county. Because the availability of reliable data for sub -geographic areas of the county is limited, this analysis will focus primarily on the county as a whole. In addition to the three aspects mentioned above, this analysis will include a comparison of Indian River County with the state and region. Since the geographic areas referenced herein remain constant throughout the analysis, the following definitions are in order. The Treasure Coast Region is comprised of Indian River, St. Lucie, Martin, and Palm Beach Counties. Any reference to Indian River County includes the entire county unless specified as the unincorporated county. The unincorporated county excludes the five incorporated municipalities (Vero Beach, Sebastian, Fellsmere, Indian River Shores, and Orchid). Census Designated Places (CDP) are small areas within the unincorporated county designated by the US Bureau of Census. As defined by the census, a CDP is a densely settled population center without legally defined corporate limits or corporate powers. These areas generally contain a residential nucleus with a city - type street pattern. In addition to those areas defined above, several other CDP's of local importance are included. These areas do not meet the criteria for official designation, but have experienced significant development and population growth. All areas are depicted on the map below. Community Development Department Indian River County I Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Figure 1.2: Municipalities & Census Designated Places Within Indian River County, Florida ROSEL D OR TH ACH EBA � CH! FE LSfvF RE � SOSEACH N E WINTER" NR ER SHORES ORD"' BEA H WEST VERO CORRJDQR2 20. 1E. Hl- 31; -- CH SOUTH ACH _SOUTH -FLORfDARJD E N Municipalities ROSELAND %AABASSO BEACH FLORIDA RIDGE 0 SOUTH BEACH WEST VERO CORRIDOR Miles E 0 1 2 4 6 8 GIFFORD VERO BEACH SOUTH WINTER BEACH .S 0 NORTH BEACH 0 VVAEASSO Major Roads Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Historic Population The historic population of Indian River County from 1930 to the present is shown in Table 1.1. This table also provides the numerical and percentage increase of population for each period. The data indicate that Indian River County has experienced significant growth since its formation in 1925. Overall, the county experienced a more than 20 fold population increase between 1930 and 2009. With a population of 6,724 in 1930, the county grew to more than 141,475 people in 2009, a growth rate of approximately 3.93% per year. That growth, however, was not constant over the time period. In the early years of the county, 1920 to 1950, Indian River County's population increased at an average rate of approximately 2.88% per year. The population did, however, nearly double from 6,724 persons to 11,872 persons during that time. In the fifties, the County experienced rapid growth, doubling from 11,872 in 1950 to 25,309 in 1960. During that time, the population increased 113%, an annual rate of 7.86%. County growth slowed considerably in the 1960's, to an annual rate of 3.58%. Despite a growth rate half that of the previous 10 years, the population experienced a sizable increase of 10,683 persons over that ten year period. Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TABLE 1.1 HISTORIC POPULATION 1930-2009, Indian River County SOURCE YEAR POPULATION NUMERICAL COUNTY INCREASE TOTAL % INCREASE POPULATION UNINCORP. COUNTY NUMERICAL INCREASE INCREASE Census 1930 6,724 Census 11940 8,957 2,233 33.21% Census 1950 11,872 2,915 32.54% Census 1960 25,309 13,437 113.18% Census 1970 35,992 10,683 42.21% Census 1980 59,896 23,904 66.41% 38455 EBR 1981 63,300 3,404 5.68% ------- EBR 1982 67,200 3,900 6.16% ------- EBR 1983 69,900 2,700 4.02% ------- EBR 1984 72,800 2,900 4.15% ------- EBR 1985 75,000 2,200 3.02% 50,446 EBR 1986 77,700 2,700 3.60% 52,198 1,752 3.47% EBR 1987 80,200 2,500 3.22% 53,825 1,627 3.12% EBR 1988 83,700 3,500 4.36% 55,675 1,850 3.44% EBR 11989 86,800 3,100 3.70% 57,125 1,450 2.60% Census 1990 90,208 3,408 3.93% 58,175 1,050 1.84% EBR 1991 92,824 2,616 2.89% 59,449 1,274 2.19% EBR 1992 94,435 1,611 1.73% 60,423 974 1.64% EBR 1993 96,111 1,676 1.77% 61,334 911 1.51% EBR 1994 98,085 1,974 2.05% 62,156 822 1.34% EBR 1995 100,375 2,290 2.33% 64,114 1,958 3.15% EBR 1996 102,516 2,141 2.13% 65,466 1,352 2.11% EBR 1997 104,644 2,128 2.07% 67,146 1,680 2.57% EBR 1998 106,689 2,045 1.95% 68,482 1,336 1.99% EBR 11999 109,266 2,577 2.41% 70,425 1,943 2.75% Census 2000 112,947 3,681 3.36% 71,660 1,235 1.75% EBR 2001 115,716 2,769 2.45% 73,456 1,798 2.50% EBR 2002 118,149 2,433 2.10% 75,039 1,583 2.15% EBR 2003 121,174 2,980 2.52% 76,908 1,869 2.49% EBR P004 126,829 5,655 4.67% 81,217 4,309 5.60% EBR 2005 130,041 3,212 2.53% 83,822 2,605 3.20% EBR 2006 135,215 5,174 3.98% 86,779 2,957 3.53% EBR 2007 139,757 4,542 3.36% 90,607 3,828 4.41% EBR 2008141,667 1,910 1.37°/91,6121 1,005 1.11% EBR 009 141,475 -192 -0.14%1 91,606 -6 -0.01% Source: U.S. Census Bureau and the University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element In the seventies, the County's population increased by over 23,000 persons, an average annual growth rate of 5.23%. While the County's growth rate slowed to approximately 4.86% per year during the 1980-1990 timeframe, the numerical increase was the largest recorded. Slowing further, the growth rate declined to approximately 2.27% per year for the 1990 to 2000 period. Then, the County's growth rate increased to approximately 2.53% per year between 2000 and 2009. From 2008 and 2009, however, the County's population actually decreased by 192 people, or 0.14%. That is the first time that the county's population has ever declined. Since the early part of the 20th century, both the State and the Treasure Coast Region have also experienced rapid population growth. Table 1.2 provides the population information for Indian River County, the Treasure Coast Region, and the state of Florida from 1960 to 2009. During that period, the population of the county and the region grew more than five fold, with the region slightly outpacing the county. Both areas grew faster than the state, which more than tripled in population. In fact, Indian River County's population as a percentage of Florida's population increased from 0.51% in 1960 to 0.75% in 2009. TABLE 1.2 POPULATION 1960 - 2009 Indian River County, the Treasure Coast, and Florida Indian River County Population Treasure Coast Florida Population IRC Pop. as % of Treasure Coast Pop. Population IRC Pop. as % of Florida Pop. 1960 25,300 309,600 8.2% 4,951,600 0.51% 1965 31,300 397,800 7.9% 5,961,600 0.53% 1970 36,000 463,900 7.8% 6,791,400 0.53% 1975 46,300 640,900 7.2% 8,485,200 0.55% 1980 59,900 787,900 7,C% 9,747,100 0.61% 1985 76,400 986,800 7.7% 11,287,900 0.68% 1990 90,208 1,204,782 7.5% 12,938,071 0.70% 1995 100,261 1,346,259 7.4% 14,149,317 0.71% 2000 112,947 1,563,564 7.2% 15,982,824 0.71% 2005 130,043 1,777,041 7.3% 17,918,227 0.73% 2008 141,667 1,856,774 1 7.6% 18,807,219 1 0.75% 2009 141,475 1,845,539 7.7% 1 18,750,483 1 0.75% Source: U.S. Census of Population & University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research Community Development Department Indian River County 10 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TABLE 1.3 PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN POPULATION Indian River County Treasure Coast Florida 1960-1965 24.9 28.5 20.4 1965-1970 13.9 16.6 13.9 1970-1975 28.6 38.2 24.9 1975-1980 29.4 22.9 14.9 1980-1985 27.6 25.3 15.8 1985-1990 18.1 22.1 14.6 1990-1995 11.1 11.7 9.4 1995-2000 12.7 16.1 13.0 2000-2005 15.1 13.7 12.1 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census During the period from 1960 to 2005, the population of Indian River County increased by 414%; the Treasure Coast by 474%; and the state by 261.9%. While these figures are impressive, closer examination is needed to understand the rapid growth and identify the trends that occurred. Because data for the period from 1960-2005 are available for 5 year periods, much of this analysis addresses 5 year intervals. For the 9 five year periods between 1960 and 2005, population increases for Indian River County averaged 20.1%, compared with 21.7% increases for the Treasure Coast, and 15.4% increases for Florida. In all periods except the 1995 - 2000 period, Indian River County's 5 year growth rates were higher than Florida's five year growth rates, indicating that the county had a faster growth rate than the State as a whole. Comparatively, Indian River County's rates were greater than those for the Treasure Coast only for the 1975-1980, the 1980-1985, and the 2000-2005 periods. For much of the 1980's and all of the 1990's, the county's growth rate fell below the pace of the region. Therefore, the county's share of the regional population declined during that time period. This trend began to shift during the 2000-2005 period, with Indian River County outpacing the Treasure Coast during that time. At the same time, the County experienced higher percentage increases of population than the state, resulting in an overall increase in the county's share of the state population total. Community Development Department Indian River County 11 Comprehensive Plan introductory Element TABLE 1.4 INDIAN RIVER COUNTY SHARE OF POPULATION GROWTH OF THE TREASURE COAST AND FLORIDA Indian River County Pop. Change Treasure Coast Florida Pop. Change IRC % of Change Pop. Change IRC % of Change 1960-65 6,000 88,200 6.8 1,010,000 0.6 1965-70 4,700 66,100 7.1 829,800 0.6 1970-75 10,300 177,000 5.8 1,693,800 0.6 1975-80 13,600 147,000 9.3 1,261,900 1.1 1980-85 16,500 198,900 8.3 1,540,800 1.1 1985-90 13,808 217,982 6.3 1,650,171 0.8 1990-95 10,053 141,477 7.1 1,211,246 0.8 1995-2000 12,686 217,305 5.8 1,833,507 0.7 2000-2005 17,096 213,477 8.0 1,935,403 0.9 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census, Compiled by Indian River County Planning Division These numbers indicate that the pace of growth in the state, region, and county slowed in the 1985- 2005 period compared to the 1970-1985 period. While outpacing the state growth rate through 1995, approximately equaling the state growth rate between 1995 and 2000, and again outpacing the state growth rate between 2000 and 2005, Indian River County has grown at a faster pace than the state and has remained near the growth rate of the more urban areas of the Treasure Coast. Subgeographic Estimates and Projections Appendix B" contains a Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) map of the County with tables listing year 2000 population and employment estimates and the latest population and employment projections for 2015 and 2030 by Traffic Analysis Zone. These data are not comparable to 1995 County Traffic Analysis Zone data, because the number of TAZ's, as well as the individual TAZ boundaries, have changed substantially since 1995 as a consequence of the County engaging in regional travel demand forecasting modeling efforts. Further, 2030 TAZ data do not use BEBR as their source for population data; therefore, 2030 TAZ data are not directly comparable to the BEBR population data for the County, State and Treasure Coast as reported within this element. For 2030 TAZ data, the County chose to use Community Development Department Indian River County 12 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element population data prepared by the County's Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO). Those MPO population data were developed by using a regression analysis based on recent growth trends. Components of Population Change Population growth is the result of two processes: natural growth and migration. Natural growth consists of births minus deaths. While population with a high proportion of younger persons and/or a high birth rate is likely to have positive natural growth, a population with a high proportion of older persons and/or a low birth rate is likely to experience negative natural growth. Migration on the other hand is the movement of people from one location to another. Many factors, including economic, health, climate, and family contribute to the decision of a household to relocate to another area. Table 1.5 identifies the components of growth in Florida, the Treasure Coast Region, and Indian River County. As indicated in Table 1.5, the proportion of growth due to net migration is high throughout the state, region, and especially the county. In fact, a review of historical data indicates that, while migration is declining as a growth factor for the state and the region, it is increasing for Indian River County. TABLE 1.5 Components of Po ulation Change 2000 — 2007 # of natural % of natural # of net % of net increase increase migration migration -2,672 -10.0% 29,482 110.0% Indian River Count 4,468 1.6% 282,456 98.4% Treasure Coast 3361010 12.5% 2,361,533 87.5% Florida Source: University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research Characteristics of the Population This section examines the current socioeconomic characteristics of the population. Since the decennial U.S. Census is the traditional and most reliable source of these data, much of the data reflect 2000 figures. Where more current and reliable data are available, they have been included. Also, comparisons between the county, the region, and the state are presented. Community Development Department Indian River County 13 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Age The data in tables 1.6 and 1.7 show the numerical and percentage breakdown of the County's population by age. In each 10 year census period, all age groups, except for the 20-34 year old age group, increased in size. Despite the fact that nearly all age groups increased in size, there are differences in age group growth which can be observed. The most notable difference relates to the oldest age group, 65+; this group nearly doubled in each period, resulting in a 99 fold increase between the year 1930 and the year 2000. By contrast, the two youngest groups combined (ages 19 and under) increased by a factor of only 9. TABLE 1.6 AGE OF POPULATION INDIAN RIVER COUNTY Year 5 & Under 6-19 20-34 35-64 65+ Total 1930 729 2,009 1,711 1,940 334 6,724 1940 766 2,535 2,770 2,770 616 8,957 1950 1,323 2,871 4,115 4,115 1,046 11,872 1960 2,794 6,476 8,493 8,493 3,529 25,309 1970 2,824 9,861 11,578 11,578 6,251 35,992 1980 3,837 11,674 20,392 20,392 12,224 59,896 1990 4,918 14,447 15,929 30,322 24,592 90,208 2000 5,259 18,772 14,859 41,085 32,972 112,947 2005 6,066* 21,121* 17,508 49,777 35,571 130,043 2007 6,630* 22,358* 19,110 53,779 37,880 139,757 Source: Data for years 1930 through 2000 are from the U.S. Bureau of Census, Census of Population. Data from the year 2005 are from the Florida Office of Economic & Demographic Research, Demographic Estimating Conference Database, April 1, 2005. Data from the year 2007 are from the Florida Office of Economic & Demographic Research, Demographic Estimating Conference Database, February 2008 and Aubust 2008. *Note: Actual age categories are 0 to 4 years and 5 to 19 years. Community Development Department Indian River County 14 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TABLE 1.7 PERCENT OF POPULATION BY AGE INDIAN RIVER COUNTY Year 5 & under 6-19 20-34 35-64 65+ 1930 10.7 29.9 25.5 28.9 5.0 1940 8.6 28.3 25.3 30.9 6.9 1950 11.1 24.2 21.2 34.7 8.8 1960 11.0 25.6 15.9 33.6 13.9 1970 7.9 27.4 15.2 32.2 17.3 1980 6.4 19.5 19.6 34.1 20.4 1990 5.5 16.0 17.7 33.6 27.3 2000 4.7 16.6 13.1 36.4 29.2 2005 4.7* 16.2* 13.5 38.3 27.4 2007 4.7* 16.0* 13.7 38.5 27.1 Source: Data for years 1930 through 2000 are from the U.S. Bureau of Census, Census of Population. Data from the year 2005 are from the Florida Office of Economic & Demographic Research, Demographic Estimating Conference Database, April 1, 2005. Data from the year 2007 are from the Florida Office of Economic & Demographic Research, Demographic Estimating Conference Database, February 2008 and August 2008. *Note: Actual age categories are 0 to 4 years and 5 to 19 years. Generally, the percentage of the total population contained in each age group provides a better indication of the aging of the population than simply looking at the number of people in each age group over time. The most obvious trend occurs in the 35-64 age cohort. Except for 1930, this group consistently commanded a larger share of the population than any other group and increased from 28.9% of the total in 1930 to 38.5% in 2007, an increase of 9.6 percentage points. The only other group that increased its percent of total population was the over 65 age group, which grew from 5% in 1930 to 27.1% in 2007, an increase of 22.1 percentage points. While the three youngest age groups have all declined as a percent of the total population, the age group in the workforce, those between 20 and 65, has remained fairly consistent over time, with 54.4% in 1930, dropping to 52.2% in 2007. This shows that the pre-school and school age population, those under 20, lost ground to the elders between 1930 and 2007. Despite a numerical increase of nearly 29,000 persons, this age group represented 20.7% of the total in 2007, compared with 40.6% in 1930. Community Development Department Indian River County 15 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element With a 2007 median age of 48.4, Indian River County's population is older than that of Florida. By comparison, the median age in Florida was 39.9 that year. In fact, Indian River County's median age was the 9th highest of the 67 counties in Florida in 2007. As illustrated in Table 1.8, the median age of the county is rising faster than that of the state. TABLE 1.8 MEDIAN AGE 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2007 Florida 32.3 34.7 36.3 38.7 39.7 39.9 Indian River County 34.5 39.6 43.8 47.0 47.9 48.4 Martin County 39.6 43.0 44.3 47.3 48.8 49.5 Palm Beach County 35.5 40.2 39.8 41.8 42.6 42.6 St. Lucie County 31.4 34.0 37.7 42.0 43.1 43.1 Source: Bureau of Census, Census of Population; BEBR Race The racial makeup of the County population has also changed over time. As indicated in Table 1.9, the percentage of blacks decreased from 28.7% of the population in 1930 to 9% in 2007, while the white population increased from 71.3% in 1930 to 89.8% in 2007. According to Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research estimates, people of other races increased from 1,308 persons, or 1.2% of the County population in 2000, to 1,716 persons, or 1.2% of the County population, in 2007. These people of other races include American Indians, Asians, Pacific Islanders, and those identifying themselves as two or more races. In contrast, the proportion of the population of Florida that is from a race other than black or white increased from 2.4% in 2000 to 2.8% in 2007. TABLE 1.9 RACIAL COMPOSITION 1930-2007 INDIAN RIVER COUNTY White % Black % Other % 1930 4,793 71.3 1,931 28.7 -- -- 1940 6,288 70.2 2,669 29.8 -- -- 1950 9,180 77.3 2,962 29.0 -- 1960 19,920 78.7 5,380 21.3 9 -- Community Development Department Indian River County 16 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TABLE 1.9 RACIAL COMPOSITION 1930-2007 INDIAN RIVER COUNTY EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT White % Black % Other % 1970 29,409 81.7 6,514 18.1 69 0.2 1980 51,172 85.4 7,765 13.0 959 1.6 1990 81,418 90.3 7,660 8.5 1,130 1.3 2000 102,028 90.3 9,611 8.5 1,308 1.2 2005 116,880* 89.9 11,500 8.8 1,663 1.3 2007 125,510* 89.8 12,531 9.0 1,716 1.2 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census, Census of Population; BEBR. *Note: Includes persons of Hispanic origin. In 2005, this includes 11,482 persons of Hispanic origin and in 2007 this includes 14,162 persons of Hispanic origin. Education Educational achievement is measured by the number of years of school completed by adults over 25 years of age, as reported by the U.S. Census. Achievement levels are broken down into three categories: Elementary School, High School, and College. The High School and College groups are further broken down to those that completed 1-3 years and those that graduated. Achievement levels recorded are the highest level (years completed) reached by an individual. TABLE 1.10 EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT Persons 25 years and older (1980-2000) Years Com leted by Percent Elementary High School, High School College, 1-3 College 0-8 years 1-3 yrs. Graduate years Graduate IRC 1980 16.4 16.9 33.8 17.4 15.5 IRC 1990 7.1 16.5 30.6 26.7 19.1 IRC 2000 6.3 12.2 29.1 29.4 23.1 FL 1980 17.6 15.7 35.0 16.8 14.9 FL 1990 9.5 16.1 30.2 26.0 18.3 FL 2000 5.5 12.0 29.1 29.6 23.8 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census, Census of Population Community Development Department Indian River County 17 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element As shown in Table 1. 10, the educational attainment level in the county is slightly lower than that of the state as a whole. The data also indicate that the educational attainment level in the county increased from 1990 to 2000. In 1990, 76.4% of the county's over 25 population had at least a high school education. By 2000, that figure had risen to 81.6%, a slightly smaller increase than the state as a whole, which increased from 74.5% to 82.5%. Income Comparisons of income utilize three indicators: per capita income, household income, and family income, as well as incidence of poverty. In Indian River County, per capita income compares favorably to that of the nation and the state. In the 90's, the county was consistently above the nation and the state; in fact, the margin of difference has increased over time. When compared to the four county region, however, Indian River County's per capita income is 3rd overall, behind Palm Beach County and Martin County. St. Lucie County is the only one of the four Treasure Coast counties with a per capita income below the state average. TABLE 1.11 PER CAPITA INCOME (dollars) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 % change 2000-2007 IRC 37,110 39,470 39,717 40,757 47,286 50,369 54,045 59,419 60.1% FL 28,509 29,273 29,727 30,330 32,618 34,798 36,720 38,417 34.8% US 29,845 30,574 30,821 31,504 33,123 34,757 36,714 38,615 29.4% St. Lucie 22,237 22,897 23,043 23,403 25,744 26,575 27,540 28,056 26.2% Martin 42,065 43,761 42,985 43,609 48,728 52,423 56,741 61,868 47.1% Palm Beach 43,102 43,884 44,125 43,876 48,282 51,483 55,311 59,147 37.2% Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis: Regional Economic Accounts, Website Accessed January 14, 2010. Table 1.12 provides family and household income data as well as incidence of poverty information for families and individuals. Just as with per capita income, household and family incomes in Indian River County were reported above state levels for 1979, 1989, and 1999. By 2007, however, the Community Development Department Indian River County 18 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element county's median household income fell below the state's median household income, with the margin of difference between the state and county median family income having decreased during the 1999 to 2007 time period. Both the state and the county, however, remain below the nation with respect to median family income and median household income. TABLE 1.12 INCOME AND POVERTY STATUS MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD MEDIAN FAMILY % OF PERSONS BELOW % OF FAMILIES Persons/ INCOME IN DOLLARS INCOME IN DOLLARS POVERTY LEVEL BELOW POVERTY House -Hold % Change House -Hold LEVEL 1979 1989 1999 2007 1979 1989 1999 2007 1979 1989 1999 2007 1979 1989 1999 2007 IRC 15,101 28,961 39,635 47,563 17,607 33,569 46,385 54,126 12.3 8.7 9.3 9.7 8.3 5.9 6.3 -- L 14,675 27,483 38,819 47,804 17,280 32,212 45,625 53,300 13.5 12.7 12.5 12.1 9.9 9 9 -- S 16,841 30,056 41,994 50,740 1 19,917 35,225 1 50,046 159,0001 12.4 13.1 12.41 13 9.6 -- 9.2 -- Source: U.S. Bureau of Census and U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis In 1979, 1989, 1999, and 2007, the rate of poverty among persons and families was lower in Indian River County than at both the state and national levels. Households Generally, the number of households and the average household size can greatly impact land use planning in a community. A household is defined as the person or persons occupying a dwelling unit. As the average household size decreases, the number of households or required dwelling units increases relative to the population. Table 1.13 shows the number of households and persons per household. Because the average number of persons per household decreased from 1950 to 2007, the number of households increased at a rate faster than the population as a whole increased during that time. TABLE 1.13 HOUSEHOLDS AND PERSONS PER HOUSEHOLD Households Persons/ Persons/ Year (IRC) % Change House -Hold % Change House -Hold (FL) Change 1950 3,653 -- 3.19 -- -- - 1960 8,247 125.8 3.05 -4.4 -- - 1970 12,329 49.5 2.90 -4.9 2.90 -- Community Development Department Indian River County 19 Comprehensive Plan introductory Element TABLE 1.13 HOUSEHOLDS AND PERSONS PER HOUSEHOLD Households Persons/ Persons/ Year (IRC) % Change House -Hold % Change House -Hold (FL) Change 1980 23,331 89.3 2.49 -14.1 2.55 -12.1 1990 38,057 63.1 2.33 -6.4 2.46 -3.5 2000 49,137 29.1 2.30 -1.3 2.52 2.4 2005 56,450 2.5% 2.26 -1.9% 2.46 -2.4% 2006 59,250 5.0% 2.24 -0.9% 2.46 0.0% 2007 61,300 3.5% 2.23 -0.4% 2.45 -0.4% Source: U.S. Census of Population, & University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research Due to several factors, average household size is decreasing throughout the United States. These factors include families having fewer children and delaying the birth of children; young adults no longer living with parents but moving out on their own, and older persons living longer and not returning to their children in their later years. Combined, these factors have led to a decrease in the average household size. As indicated in Table 1. 13, the average household size in Indian River County, already less than the state's, is decreasing. The pace of that decrease, however, slowed down in the eighties, and even further slowed in the nineties. Population Projections Population projections are essential tools in any planning activity. For land use planning, the amount of population growth determines future requirements for housing, transportation, recreation, schools and other public and private facilities and services. Using a population projection that is too low will likely result in failure to adequately identify and fund future county facility needs (e.g. roads). Conversely, using a population projection that is too high will result in identifying needs that will occur beyond the forecasted time period. A population projection is, therefore, an attempt to provide an accurate forecast of the future population. As with any forecast, the reliability of a population projection depends on the accuracy of the data, the accuracy of the projection methodology and the accuracy of the assumptions used. In Florida, most county comprehensive plans and long range transportation plans rely on countywide population forecasts prepared by the University of Florida's Bureau of Economic and Business Research (BEBR). The BEBR population forecasts include "Low", "Medium", and "High" projections by county in five year increments. According to Section 9J-5.005 of the Florida Administrative Code, the BEBR medium series projections should be utilized by communities for their planning activities. Section 9J-5.005 also states that a community may use its own projections, or BEBR low or high series projections, provided sufficient documentation or analysis is provided Community Development Department Indian River County 20 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element justifying the choice. For Indian River County, BEBR medium series projections are shown in Table 1.14 and constitute the population projections used in this plan. These projections reflect an average annual growth rate of 1.51% through the year 2030. This is a reduced growth rate from previous yearly BEBR projections. This lower growth rate reflects the recent collapse of the housing market and the lingering effects of the worst economic crisis since the 1930s. In the future, most growth will come to the County from the south and north. Because of an increasing scarcity of developable land, population is moving northward into Indian River County in search of housing and land. To the north, the "baby boom" generation is reaching retirement age, and many of these retirees are moving to sunbelt states, including to Florida. As a traditionally agricultural area, Indian River County has a large mass of available vacant land that can accommodate growth from the south and growth from the north. This, coupled with a large inventory of existing platted lots within the county, including existing platted lots dating back to the 1950's and 1960's, indicates that there will continue to be available space for future population growth. TABLE 1.14 POPULATION PROJECTIONS -INDIAN RIVER COUNTY 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 BEBR 142,300 155,000 169,300 183,400 196,900 Source: University of Florida, BEBR, Mid -Range Projections 2009 As with any projection, the probability of error increases as the projection horizon year is extended. It is also difficult to make assumptions about a population 20 years in the future. Because of the importance of migration to the growth of Indian River County, the county's growth is affected by the many economic, social, and political factors at the local, state, regional, national, and global level that impact the decisions of individuals or businesses to relocate to the county. An examination of county, regional and state projections reveals that several factors should be considered in preparing projections. The assumption which forms the basis of these projections is that present demographic trends will continue. These trends include a continued reliance on in - migration for population growth and a resulting influx of many retirees. Since the 1950's, birth rates in the U.S. have declined and are expected to continue to decline. This will result in slower U.S. population growth with an aging of the population. Those over 65, however, have shown a desire to relocate to locations which offer the high quality of life often Community Development Department Indian River County 21 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element associated with a mild climate and a relatively low cost of living. These are characteristics historically applicable to Florida. In the future, growth will be a major factor with which local governments and the state must contend. Between the year 2008 and 2030, Indian River County will add approximately 55,233 residents, or nearly 2,510 additional residents per year. By that time, the four county Treasure Coast region will increase from about 1.85 million to over 2.36 million residents. With respect to the state, the Census Bureau projects that Florida will likely become the third most populous state, with over 20 million residents, by 2030. During this period, the county's population will increase at a faster pace than the state's and the region's. Throughout the planning period, the percentage population change for Indian River County will be higher than the percentage change for both the state and the region. This percent will decline for all three areas over time. Indian River County's population growth, therefore, is expected to continue to be fueled by in - migration, with a great many of those immigrants being retired persons. TABLE 1.15 POPULATION PROJECTIONS INDIAN RIVER COUNTY, TREASURE COAST, AND FLORIDA Treasure Coast Indian River County Treasure Coast State 2010 142,300 1,848,300 18,881,400 2015 155,000 1,963,900 20,055,900 2020 169,300 2,101,100 21,417,500 2025 183,400 2,234,400 22,738,200 2030 196,900 2,358,200 23,979,000 Source: University of Florida, BEBR, Mid -Range Projections 2009 TABLE 1.16 PROJECTED PERCENTAGE RATE OF CHANGE INDIAN RIVER COUNTY, TREASURE COAST, AND FLORIDA 2010-2030 Indian River County Treasure Coast Florida 2010-2015 8.9% 6.25% 6.22% 2015-2020 9.2% 6.99% 6.79% 2020-2025 8.3% 6.34% 6.17% Community Development Department Indian River County 22 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TABLE 1.16 PROJECTED PERCENTAGE RATE OF CHANGE INDIAN RIVER COUNTY, TREASURE COAST, AND FLORIDA 2010-2030 AIndian River County Treasure Coast Florida 2025-2030 7.4% 5.54% 5.46% Source: University of Florida, BEBR, Mid -Range Projections 2009 TABLE 1.17 PROJECTED POPULATION CHANGE Iff INDIAN RIVER COUNTY, TREASURE COAST, AND FLORIDA Indian River County Treasure Coast State 2010-2015 12,700 115,600 1,174,500 2015-2020 14,300 137,200 1,361,600 2020-2025 14,100 133,300 1,320,700 2025-2030 13,500 123,800 1,240,800 Source: University of Florida, BEBR, Mid -Range Projections 2009 Seasonal and Functional Population To accurately determine demand for services and to comply with state law, the comprehensive plan estimates not only the resident population of the county, but also the functional (or effective) population of the county. The functional population is the resident population plus the seasonal population. This population projection is utilized as needed within the comprehensive plan. In some instances, the county utilizes the permanent population rather than the functional population. For example, some level of service standards are based on permanent population, while other level of service standards are based on both resident and seasonal population. The seasonal population is comprised of those persons who visit the county or reside in the county for a period of less than 6 months. This group includes tourists, migrant farm workers and other short-term and long-term visitors. The seasonal population projection used in the comprehensive plan is not intended to provide an enumeration or total count of persons who visit Indian River County throughout any given year, but rather to provide an estimate of the potential peak seasonal population. Consequently, the seasonal population figures presented in this document reflect the maximum one day potential population that is likely to occur during the peak season winter months. Community Development Department Indian River County 23 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element In the past, Indian River County accommodated a significant seasonal population that is expected to increase even further in the future. Factors that contribute to seasonal population growth include Indian River County's mild climate, variety of natural resources, coastal location, and wide variety of recreational and social activities. While not developed as a major tourist area, Indian River County can be expected to attract an increasing number of tourists in the coming years. Some of the factors contributing to the growth of tourism are the ideal winter climate; access to beaches, water facilities and other recreation facilities; and proximity to other major attractions in the state. As a key component of the local economy, agriculture has an effect on seasonal population. Because of the seasonal nature of citrus production, the number of migrant laborers generally increase during the peak harvesting season. The balance of the seasonal population consists of the short-term and long-term visitors/residents drawn to the county for the same general reasons as tourists. Many of these people are of retirement age, and their numbers can be expected to increase as that segment of the U.S. population increases. To determine seasonal population, the county calculated the peak season populations of lodging establishments (hotels and motels); recreational vehicle (RV) parks and campgrounds; visitors with family, friends, and relatives; migrant labor camps; and part -year residents. Lodging Establishments For estimation of the number of persons using county lodging establishments during peak season, the following formula was used. (number of units) X (peak season occupancy rate) X(average number ofpersons per occupied room) Through a study based on census and survey data, the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) projects the number of hotel/motel units in the county. Those projections are made in five year increments. Based on a 1987 survey conducted by the County's Planning Division, the peak season occupancy rate was estimated to be 90%. Research indicates that the average number of persons per occupied room is 1.8. According to those figures, 3,614 persons/day will use county lodging establishments during the peak season in 2010. Additionally, the county now projects that 4,100 persons/day will use county lodging establishments during the 2030 peak season. Projections for future peak season hotel/motel visitors were calculated using 1987 occupancy rates and persons per room as well as a 75 unit increase in hotel rooms for each five year period. Community Development Department Indian River County 24 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TABLE 1.18 HOTEL/MOTEL VISITORS 2010-2030 Year Rooms Occupancy Persons Per Room Visitors 2010 2,231 90% 1.8 3,614 2015 2,306 90% 1.8 3,736 2020 2,381 90% 1.8 3,857 2025 2,456 90% 1.8 3,979 2030 2,531 90% 1.8 4,100 Source: Indian River County Planning Division Recreational Vehicle Parks and Campgrounds In 2006, there were 718 recreational vehicle sites in Indian River County. A 1987 survey of operators revealed a 3 month peak season from mid-January until mid-April, and full occupancy for the duration. Occupancy of recreational vehicles was almost exclusively couples. Based on that information, it is estimated that there were approximately 1,436 people living in recreational vehicle parks and campgrounds in the county during the 2006 peak season. In addition, it is projected that approximately 1,506 people will be living in recreational vehicle parks and campgrounds in the county during the 2030 peak season. That projection assumes that the number of recreational vehicle sites in the county will increase by 1% every five years. TABLE 1.19 PROJECTED VISITORS IN RECREATIONAL VEHICLE PARKS AND CAMPGROUNDS Year Sites Occupancy Persons/Vehicle Total 2010 724 100% 2.0 1,447 2015 731 1,462 100% 2.0 2020 738 100% 2.0 1,477 2025 746 100% 2.0 1,491 2030 753 100% 2.0 1,506 Source: Indian River County Planning Division Community Development Department Indian River County 25 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Visitors with Family, Friends and Relatives In addition to those tourists staying in hotels, motels, recreational vehicle parks and camps, a number of visitors to the county seek lodging with family, friends and relatives. In 2001, the Indian River County Chamber of Commerce hired a consultant to study tourist behavior and tourism's economic impact upon the County. As part of the study, surveys of non -county residents were taken at thirteen different sites from January 15, 2001 to October 1, 2001. Among the survey questions were: purpose of visit; type of lodging; duration of stay within the county; and destinations. These data were used to produce a profile of travelers and visitors to Indian River County. According to the Indian River County tourism study, 25.23% of overnight visitors to Indian River County stayed with family, friends and relatives. For the first quarter of 2001, lodging with family, friends and relatives in Indian River County represented 42.7% of lodgings in hotels and motels. It is estimated that 1,543 people will stay with family, friends, and relatives during the 2010 peak season. Additionally, it is projected that 1,750 people will stay with family, friends, and relatives during the 2030 peak season. TABLE 1.20 VISITORS WITH FAMILY, FRIENDS, AND RELATIVES Year Hotel Visitors Family, Friends & Relatives Visitors 2010 3,614 1,543 2015 3,736 1,595 2020 3,857 1,647 2025 3,979 1,699 2030 4,100 1,750 Source: Indian River County Planning Division Community Development Department Indian River County 26 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Migrant Labor Historically, agriculture, generally, and citrus production, specifically, has played a key role in the Indian River County economy. Due to the decline of the citrus industry, however, citrus's role in the local economy is diminishing. According to a September 10, 2004 farmworker housing report prepared for the Florida Housing Finance Corporation by the Shimberg Center for Affordable Housing, there were 1,696 migrant farm laborers within the county in 2002. In addition to the 1,696 migrant farm laborers, there were 240 household members that accompanied migrant farm laborers. While those figures appear to be low considering the agricultural segment of the economy, several factors were identified which support this figure. One factor is that migrant labor camps in the county are currently licensed for only 570 persons. Another factor is that many seasonal farm laborers are year-round county residents. The final factor is that during peak season many laborers are bussed into the county on a daily basis from neighboring counties with higher numbers of migrant labor facilities. It is assumed that the number of migrant laborers will further decline in years to come due to the spreading of citrus canker and citrus greening in Indian River County. Citrus canker is a bacterial disease that causes premature leaf and fruit drop. Citrus greening, also a bacterial disease, causes citrus trees to produce bitter misshaped fruit and kills trees over the course of a couple of years. According to the Indian River Citrus League, a portion of the county's citrus is infected with canker, but at very low incidence. Through time, however, the incidence of infection will continue to increase. The Indian River Citrus League also estimates that the incidence of citrus greening within Indian River County will increase over time. The spread of these diseases will depend on weather conditions, and grove management practices. Although citrus canker and citrus greening will be present, it is estimated that the citrus industry will remain profitable, although infected trees will have to be removed and replacement trees will have to be planted on a reoccurring basis until cures can be found for the two diseases. As the two diseases spread and as infected trees are removed, production will decline. It is estimated by the Indian River Citrus League that the effects of these two diseases will continue to reduce the amount of citrus acreage within the County. In 2008, that amount was 39,013 acres. With the decline in the citrus acreage, the Indian River Citrus League also estimates that the migrant labor work force will decline to 1/2 of its 2002 size. Consequently, it can be expected that there will be approximately 968 migrant laborers within the County at the point that the County reaches 30,000 acres of citrus (1,936/2 = 968 migrant laborers). Community Development Department Indian River County 27 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Part -Year Residents The final segment of the county's seasonal population is the part-time resident component of the county. That group has been characterized as "snowbirds" who flock south for the winter months and return to their primary residences in the north for the remainder of the year. As defined, snowbirds consist of people who maintain an Indian River County residence which is occupied for less than 6 months a year. Past studies have indicated that the part -year population during the peak season is generally equal to 10% of the resident population. Based on that ratio, it is estimated that there were 14,167 part -year residents living in the county during the 2008 peak season. Furthermore, it is projected that there will be 19,690 part -year residents living in the county during the 2030 peak season. Source: Indian River County Planning Division TABLE 1.22 TABLE 1.21 PART-TIME RESIDENTS INDIAN RIVER COUNTY Year Part -Time Residents 2010 14,230 2015 15,500 2020 16,930 2025 18,340 2030 19,690 Source: Indian River County Planning Division TABLE 1.22 TOTAL PROJECTED SEASONAL POPULATION INDIAN RIVER COUNTY 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 3,614 3,736 3,857 3,979 4,100 Hotel/Motels 1,447 1,462 1,477 1,491 1,506 Recreational Vehicles 1.543 1,595 1,647 1,699 1,750 Family, Friends, and Relatives Migrant Labor 1,339 1,064 968 968 968 14,230 15,500 16,930 18,340 19,690 Part -Time Residents TOTAL 22,174 23,356 24,878 26,477 28,015 Source: Indian River County Planning Division Community Development Department Indian River County 28 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Seasonal population estimates and projections are presented in Table 1.22. These figures are subject to influences from both within and outside the county, and will require revision as more timely data become available. TABLE 1.23 FUNCTIONAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS FOR INDIAN RIVER COUNTY 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Resident 142,300 155,000 169,300 183,400 196,900 • of Total 86.5% 86.9% 87.2% 87.4% 87.5% Seasonal 22,174 23,356 24,878 26,477 28,015 • of Total 13.5% 13.1% 12.8% 12.6% 12.5% Functional (TOTAL) 164,474 178,356 194,178 209,877 224,915 Source: Indian River County Planning Department The functional population is the largest population that would be expected to use county services and facilities on a given day. As such, the functional population of the entire county can be determined by adding the resident and the seasonal populations of the entire county. Economy The local economy can greatly influence the stability and quality of life in an area. In Indian River County, several economic indicators can provide an overview of the economy. Those indicators are: unemployment and employment by major industrial sectors. Each of these indicators is addressed below. A detailed discussion of the economy is presented in the Economic Development Element. Unemployment Indian River County's unemployment rate is higher than the state's as a whole. In 2008, the county's average annual unemployment rate exceeded the state's unemployment rate by 1.9 percentage points, up from 1.3 percentage points in 2000. Community Development Department Indian River County 29 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TABLE 1.24 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE INDIAN RIVER COUNTY AND THE STATE OF FLORIDA 2000 Unemployment Rate 2008 Unemployment Rate Florida 3.8% 6.2% Indian River County 5.1% 8.1% Source: Florida Agency For Workforce Innovation The county's unemployment rate is also cyclical. Generally, the unemployment rate is higher during the summer months. The cyclical rate is attributed to the seasonal nature of the citrus and tourism sectors. Employment Employment by major industrial sector is presented in Table 1.25. These data show the number of persons employed and percent of total employment. As shown in Table 1.25, employment decreased in manufacturing, utilities, and information from 2001 to 2008. In 2001, retail was the sector with the largest percentage of employees in the county at 17.9%. The health care sector was the next largest at 14.6%. In 2008, the health care sector overtook the retail sector in terms of total employment. The growth of the health care sector can in part be attributed to the aging of the County's population. Some of the decline in the retail and manufacturing sectors can be attributed to the collapsed housing market and recent economic crisis. TABLE 1.25 EMPLOYMENT BY MAJOR INDUSTRIAL SECTOR INDIAN RIVER COUNTY 2001 2008 Employees % Total Employees % Total Agriculture 2,488 5.8% 2,641 5.38% Mining Not Published ------ Not Published ------ Utilities 29 0.1% 21 0.04% Construction 2,951 6.9% 4,167 8.49% Manufacturing 3,106 7.2% 2,185 4.45% Wholesale Trade 788 1.8% 867 1.77% Retail Trade 7,563 17.6% 8,011 16.32% Transp. & Warehousing 623 1 1.5% 1,013 2.06% Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Information 870 2.0% 662 1.35% Finance & Ins. 1,103 2.6% 1,563 3.18% Real Estate 791 1.8% 1,133 2.31% Professional, Scientific & Tech 1,621 3.8% 2,191 4.46% Management of Companies 55 0.1% 92 0.19% Administrative & Support & Waste Management & Remediation Services 1,840 4.3% 2,308 4.70% Educational Service 2,372 5.5% Not Published ------ Health Care 6,176 14.4% 8,055 16.41% Entertainment & Rec. 1,926 4.5% 2,052 4.18% Accom. & Food Services 3,497 8.2% 4,114 8.38% Other Services 1,634 3.8% 1,737 3.54% Public Administration 2,814 6.6% 3,164 6.45% Unclassified 26 1.5% Not Published ------ Total 42,273 99.98% 45,976 93.69% Total (Including Not Published Data) 42,282 100% 49,074 100% Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 1.26: INDIAN RIVER COUNTY'S LARGEST EMPLOYERS (2009) Name NAICS Major Group Employees Total Full-time Part- time Seasonal School District of Indian River County Educational Services (NAICS 61) 2,147 2,147 0 0 Indian River County Public Administration (NAILS 92) 1,706 1,548 98 60 Indian River Medical Center Health Care and Social Assistance (NAILS 62) 1,671 1,093 253 325 Publix Supermarkets Food and Beverage Stores (NAILS 445) 1,104 535 569 0 The New Piper Aircraft Transportation Equipment Manufacturing (NAICS 336) 700 700 0 0 City of Vero Beach Public Administration (NAICS 92) 561 489 67 5 John's Island Accommodation (NAICS 721) 475 250 50 175 Indian River Estates Health Care and Social Assistance (NAICS 62) 442 222 136 84 Wal-Mart General Merchandise Stores (NAILS 452) 404 293 ill 0 Community Development Department Indian River County 31 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Table 1.26: INDIAN RIVER COUNTY'S LARGEST EMPLOYERS (2009) Name NAICS Major Group Employees Total Full-time Part- time Seasonal Sebastian River Medical Center Health Care and Social Assistance (NAICS 62) 380 380 0 0 Visiting Nurse Association Health Care and Social Assistance (NAILS 62) 348 195 153 0 CVS Warehouse/Distribution Transportation and Warehousing (NAICS 47-48) 278 325 0 0 Grand Harbor Management Construction (NAICS 23) & Real Estate (NAILS 53 1) 312 208 73 31 Disney's Vero Beach Resort Accommodation (NAICS 721) 300 195 66 39 St. Edwards School Educational Services (NAICS 61) 218 134 9 75 Sun Ag, Inc. Agricultural, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting (NAICS 11) 235 100 0 135 Captain Hiram's Restaurant & Resort Restaurant/Resort 219 85 134 0 City of Sebastian Public Administration (NAICS 92) 212 154 58 0 Medical Data System Collection Agency (NAICS 561440) 186 171 15 0 Flight Safety International Educational Services (NAICS 611) 155 120 111 120 44 0 0 0 Technical and Trade Schools (NAICS 6115) Novurania of America Boat Manufacturing (NAICS 336612) 219 85 134 0 Source: IRC Chamber of Commerce (January 2009). Community Development Department Indian River County 32 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Appendix A Community Development Department Indian River County 33 VERO BEACH PREVIOUS AND PRESENT POPULATIONS Year Population # Increase % Increase 1960 8,849 --- --- 1970 11,908 3,059 34.6 1980 16,176 4,268 35.8 1985 17,075 899 5.6 1990 17,350 275 1.6 1995 17,681 331 1.9 2000 17,705 24 .14 2005 17,895 190 1.1 2009 17,855 -40 -0.22 Community Development Department Indian River County 33 VERO BEACH EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT (2000)* Grades Persons Percentage Elementary 0-8 845 6.1 Secondary 9-12, no diploma 1,218 8.8 12 3,229 23.4 College 13-15 4,071 29.5 16+ 4,409 32 *Years of School Completed by persons 25 years and older. Income 1999 Median Household Income $38,427 % of county median 97 Median Family Income $50,260 % of county median 108.4 # of Households 8,538 Poverty 1999 Persons below poverty level 1,579 Community Development Department Indian River County 33 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Community Development Department Indian River County 34 SEBASTIAN PREVIOUS AND PRESENT POPULATIONS Year Po ulation # Increase % Increase 1960 698 --- --- 1970 825 127 18.2 1980 2,831 2,006 243.2 1985 5,604 2,773 98.0 1990 10,248 4,644 82.9 1995 13,488 3,240 31.6 2000 16,181 2,693 20 2005 20,048 3,867 23.9 2009 22,722 2,674 13.3 Community Development Department Indian River County 34 SEBASTIAN EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT (2000)* Grades 0 Persons Percentage Elementary 0-8 379 3.1 Secondary 9-12, no diploma 1,717 14.0 12 4,574 37.3 College 13-15 3,897 31.8 16+ 1,702 13.8 *Years of School Completed by persons 25 years and older. Income 1999 Median Household Income $39,327 % of county median 99.2 Median Family Income $43,044 % of county median 92,8 # of Households 7,000 Poverty 1999 Persons below poverty level 1 1,025 Community Development Department Indian River County 34 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Community Development Department Indian River County 35 INDIAN RIVER SHORES PREVIOUS AND PRESENT POPULATIONS Year Population # Increase % Increase 1970 76 --- --- 1980 1,257 1,181 1,553.9 1985 1,668 411 32.7 1990 2,278 610 36.6 1995 2,599 321 14.1 2000 3,448 849 32.7 2005 3,654 206 6.0 2009 3,804 150 4.11 Community Development Department Indian River County 35 INDIAN RIVER SHORES EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT (2000)* Grades Persons Percentage Elementary 0-8 21 0.7 Secondary 9-12, no diploma 12 0.4 12 413 13.4 College 13-15 977 31.8 16+ 1,649 53.7 *Years of School Completed by persons 25 years and older. Income 1999 Median Household Income $110,729 % of county median 279.4 Median Family Income $141,952 % of county median 306.1 # of Households 1,759 Poverty 1999 Persons below poverty level 174 Community Development Department Indian River County 35 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Community Development Department Indian River County FELLSMERE PREVIOUS AND PRESENT POPULATIONS Year Population # Increase % Increase 1960 732 --- --- 1970 813 81 11.1 1980 1,161 348 42.8 1985 1,624 463 39.9 1990 2,179 555 34.2 1995 2,354 175 8.1 2000 3,813 1,459 62 2005 4,322 509 13.4 2009 5,183 861 19.9 Community Development Department Indian River County FELLSMERE EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT (2000)* Grades Persons Percentage Elements 0-8 1,029 54.2 Seconds 9-12, no diploma 317 16.7 12 344 18.1 College 13-15 176 9.3 16+ 32 1.7 *Years of School Completed by persons 25 years and older. Income 1999 Median Household Income $30,395 % of county median 76.7 Median Family Income $31,318 % of county median 67.5 # of Households 885 Poverty 1999 Persons below poverty level 1885 Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element - - ORCHID EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT (2000)* ORCHID PREVIOUS AND PRESENT POPULATIONS Year Population # Increase % Increase 1970 8 --- --- 1980 39 31 387.5 1985 25 -14 -35.9 1990 10 -15 -60.0 1995 25 15 150.0 2000 140 115 460 2005 302 162 115,7 2009 305 3 1.0% - - ORCHID EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT (2000)* Grades Persons Percentage Elementary 0-8 0 0.0 Secondary 9-12, no diploma 2 1.5 12 8 6.0 College 13-15 23 17.1 16+ 101 75.3 *Years of School Completed by persons 25 years and older. Income 1999 Median Household Income $$200,000+ % of county median NA Median Family Income $$200,000+ % of county median NA # of Households 66 Poverty 1999 Persons below poverty level 0 Community Development Department Indian River County 37 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element VERO BEACH SOUTH CENSUS POPULATION DATA GIFFORD CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR YEAR POPULATION # INCREASE % INCREASE 1960 3,509 -- -- 1970 5,772 2,263 64.4 1980 6,240 468 8.1 1990 6,278 38 .6 2000 7,599 1,321 21 VERO BEACH SOUTH CENSUS POPULATION DATA ROSELAND CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR POPULATION # INCREASE % INCREASE 1980 1,607 -- -- 7,330 1 -- 1990 1,379 -228 -14.2 2000 1,775 396 28.7 VERO BEACH SOUTH CENSUS POPULATION DATA WABASSO CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR POPULATION # INCREASE % INCREASE 1980 2,157 -- -- 7,330 1 -- 1990 1,145 -1012 -46.9 2000 918 -227 -19.8 VERO BEACH SOUTH CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR POPULATION J#INCREASE % INCREASE 1970 7,330 1 -- Community Development Department Indian River County 0.11 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element 1980 12,636 5,306 72.3 SOUTH BEACH CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR 1990 17,182 4,546 36 1970 1,338 -- 2000 20,362 3,180 18.5 Community Development Department Indian River County Q FLORIDA RIDGE CENSUS POPULATION DATA SOUTH BEACH CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR POPULATION # INCREASE % INCREASE 1970 1,338 -- -- 1980 4,988 3,690 272.8 2,754 1,656 150.8 1990 12,183 7,195 144.3 3,457 703 25.5 2000 15,217 3,034 24.9 Community Development Department Indian River County Q NORTH BEACH CENSUS POPULATION DATA SOUTH BEACH CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR POPULATION # INCREASE % INCREASE 1980 1,098 -- -- 1990 639 414 184 1990 2,754 1,656 150.8 2000 3,457 703 25.5 Community Development Department Indian River County Q NORTH BEACH CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR POPULATION # INCREASE % INCREASE 1980 225 -- -- 1990 639 414 184 2000 243 -396 -62 Community Development Department Indian River County Q Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Community Development Department Indian River County WINTER BEACH CENSUS POPULATION DATA YEAR POPULATION # INCREASE % INCREASE 1980 978 -- -- 1990 818 -160 -16.4 2000 965 147 18 Community Development Department Indian River County Appendix B M1 F 47 i 01 N Gil Comprehensive Plan introductory Element Traffic Anal sis Zone (TAZ) Data Population Population Projection TAZ 2000 2015 2030 1001 673 847 1,020 1002 703 813 922 1003 20 20 20 1004 109 110 109 1005 725 750 773 1006 466 478 489 1007 359 396 433 1008 4,029 4,260 4,489 1009 40 194 348 1010 1,004 1,122 1,240 1011 109 202 295 1012 1,229 1,408 1,586 1013 113 120 126 1014 1,111 1,204 1,297 1015 2,522 2,721 2,920 1016 778 846 914 1017 1,547 1,691 1,835 1018 80 96 111 1019 843 927 1,009 1020 1,732 1,883 2,034 1021 3,410 3,771 4,132 1022 1,046 2,331 3,614 1023 0 24 47 1024 2,173 3,745 5,316 1025 199 357 515 1026 1,129 1,909 2,687 1027 199 218 237 1028 232 1,047 1,861 1029 148 149 148 1030 230 256 281 1031 295 710 1,123 1032 170 1,458 2,745 1033 1,131 1,209 1,287 1034 1,769 1,885 2,001 Community Development Department Indian River County [AN Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Traffic Anal sis Zone (TAZ) Data Population Population Projection TAZ 2000 2015 2030 1035 78 1,495 2,911 1036 492 1,367 2,240 1037 499 580 661 1038 1,395 2,001 2,605 1039 0 2,970 5,939 1040 141 141 141 1041 953 970 987 1042 845 1,201 1,556 1043 237 1,002 1,766 1044 0 0 0 1045 108 2,004 3,899 1046 4,125 4,413 4,700 1047 979 1,125 1,270 1048 615 748 880 1049 953 957 960 1050 273 274 273 1051 727 749 769 1052 91 92 91 1053 53 54 55 1054 0 2 2 1055 42 43 42 1056 94 94 94 1057 133 134 133 1058 0 3 5 1059 82 87 90 1060 40 756 1,471 1061 247 250 251 1062 1,248 1,476 1,702 1063 258 1,038 1,817 1064 418 590 761 1065 1,689 2,041 2,392 1066 1,063 1,289 1,515 1067 1,045 1,557 2,069 1068 417 471 524 Community Development Department Indian River County 43 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element Traffic Anal sis Zone (TAZ) Data Population Population Projection TAZ 2000 2015 2030 1069 672 705 737 1070 710 741 771 1071 190 216 242 1072 713 800 887 1073 1,704 1,763 1,821 1074 723 818 912 1075 470 470 470 1076 489 490 491 1077 1,012 1,058 1,102 1078 653 658 662 1079 726 729 731 1080 705 707 708 1081 1,834 1,937 2,039 1082 490 543 596 1083 0 0 0 1084 196 324 451 1085 799 855 911 1086 355 814 1,272 1087 3,466 3,523 3,580 1088 836 850 863 1089 548 549 548 1090 247 247 247 1091 1,372 1,384 1,396 1092 54 55 55 1093 0 0 0 1094 0 0 0 1095 560 569 577 1096 547 554 560 1097 2,402 2,410 2,417 1098 658 888 1,116 1099 968 971 973 1100 585 586 585 1101 849 1,080 1,310 1102 1,969 2,728 3,487 Community Development Department Indian River County 44 Comprehensive Plan introductory Element Traffic Anal sis Zone (TAZ) Data Population Population Projection TAZ 2000 2015 2030 1103 122 123 122 1104 599 836 1,072 1105 1,662 1,710 1,758 1106 696 701 705 1107 825 871 916 1108 1,347 1,396 1,444 1109 1,068 1,144 1,218 1110 450 503 556 1111 412 509 605 1112 1,237 1,415 1,592 1113 176 715 1,252 1114 123 381 638 1115 1,932 2,308 2,683 1116 132 132 132 1117 78 78 78 1118 2,188 2,198 2,207 1119 579 989 1,398 1120 896 1,118 1,339 1121 1,900 2,098 2,296 1122 652 1,087 1,521 1123 106 127 146 1124 1,017 1,152 1,286 1125 1,081 1,151 1,221 1126 2,178 2,262 2,345 1127 701 975 1,249 1128 1,662 1,722 1,781 1129 1,011 1,460 1,909 1130 310 645 979 1131 113 330 547 1132 138 236 333 1133 1,682 1,767 1,851 1134 2,888 14,146 25,403 1135 0 121 241 1136 0 242 482 Community Development Department Indian River County 45 Comprehensive Plan introductory Element Traffic Anal sis Zone (TAZ) Data Population Population Projection TAZ 2000 2015 2030 1137 15 65 115 1138 0 1,212 2,423 1139 28 369 710 1140 32 282 532 1141 40 1,435 2,830 1142 412 797 1,181 1143 402 403 402 1144 358 467 575 1145 437 437 437 1146 917 1,039 1,159 1147 324 413 502 1148 2,599 2,674 2,747 1149 2,427 2,514 2,600 1150 317 1,011 1,703 1151 55 244 433 1152 53 215 376 1153 302 366 429 1154 312 641 969 TOTAL 116,156 162,385 208,480 Community Development Department Indian River County Comprehensive Plan introductory Element TAZ Employment TAZ # 2000 2015 2030 Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total 1001 9 5 334 348 9 5 357 371 9 5 380 394 1002 218 392 524 1,134 218 623 775 1,616 218 853 1,026 2,097 1003 - 414 10 424 - 557 44 601 - 699 78 777 1004 24 72 421 517 450 276 527 1,253 876 480 632 1,988 1005 71 18 10 99 81 18 10 109 90 18 10 118 1006 8 285 566 859 8 337 791 1,135 8 388 1,015 1,411 1007 16 58 47 121 20 165 174 359 24 271 301 596 1008 25 4 37 66 25 4 37 66 25 4 37 66 1009 27 20 132 179 75 48 132 255 123 75 132 330 1010 147 224 149 520 147 270 161 578 147 315 173 635 1011 2 23 10 35 2 23 10 35 2 23 10 35 1012 44 36 61 141 44 58 156 257 44 79 250 373 1013 43 25 28 96 84 65 193 341 125 104 357 586 1014 13 2 13 28 18 19 34 71 23 36 55 114 1015 67 16 57 140 103 130 344 577 138 244 631 1,013 1016 11 98 109 11 102 113 11 105 116 1017 13 57 47 117 15 70 132 216 16 82 217 315 1018 2 3 5 2 4 19 24 2 7 34 43 1019 25 2 11 38 29 65 307 400 32 128 602 762 1020 3 29 25 57 3 29 25 57 3 29 25 57 1021 15 8 15 38 15 17 26 58 15 26 37 78 1022 5 32 152 189 5 32 152 189 5 32 152 189 Community Development Department Indian River County 47 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TAZ Employment TAZ # 2000 2015 2030 Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial. Comm. Servic a Total. 1023 425 102 527 544 136 680 662 170 832 1024 20 60 102 182 20 60 102 182 20 60 102 182 1025 5 250 18 273 5 328 127 459 5 405 235 645 1026 26 182 208 26 184 210 26 186 212 1027 7 4 20 31 7 4 20 31 7 4 20 31 1028 153 1,005 273 1,431 153 1,380 384 1,916 153 1,754 494 2,401 1029 13 1 2 16 19 54 36 109 25 106 70 201 1030 32 2 97 131 56 515 363 934 80 1,028 628 1,736 1031 9 8 36 53 9 21 36 66 9 33 36 78 1032 35 6 13 54 128 137 88 353 220 268 163 651 1033 57 66 142 265 57 66 142 265 57 66 142 265 1034 55 102 663 820 55 102 663 820 55 102 663 820 1035 2 52 25 79 2 52 35 89 2 52 44 98 1036 42 5 33 80 127 5 33 165 211 5 33 249 1037 174 35 154 363 189 35 154 378 203 35 154 392 1038 157 5 20 182 157 5 26 188 157 5 31 193 1039 4 3 7 4 3 7 4 3 7 1040 - 47 16 63 - 133 67 199 - 218 117 335 1041 61 60 144 265 61 98 155 313 61 135 165 361 1042 - 9 476 485 - 9 476 485 - 9 476 485 1043 153 80 17 250 153 95 77 325 153 109 137 399 1044 24 18 9 51 222 18 9 249 419 18 9 446 1045 38 5 43 51 5 56 64 5 69 Community Development Department Indian River County Lf:1 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TAZ Employment TAZ # 2000 2015 2030 Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total 1046 70 39 387 496 110 52 410 572 149 65 433 647 1047 87 31 55 173 109 31 55 195 130 31 55 216 1048 7 157 237 401 7 203 237 447 7 249 237 493 1049 1 11 135 147 1 15 135 151 1 18 135 154 1050 2 50 1,019 1,071 79 50 3,571 3,700 156 50 6,122 6,328 1051 - 1 2,211 2,212 - 16 2,619 2,635 - 30 3,027 3,057 1052 503 243 32 778 503 341 77 921 503 439 121 1,063 1053 11 53 31 95 11 168 56 235 11 283 80 374 1054 99 28 559 686 706 28 559 1,293 1,313 28 559 1,900 1055 1,200 45 88 1,333 1,357 45 106 1,508 1,513 45 124 1,682 1056 - 14 255 269 79 14 354 447 158 14 452 624 1057 73 57 801 931 255 57 801 1,113 436 57 801 1,294 1058 24 154 178 66 154 220 108 154 262 1059 4 8 2 14 4 40 6 49 4 71 9 84 1060 19 10 19 19 1061 1 7 8 1 7 8 1 7 8 1062 18 326 105 449 18 326 105 449 18 326 105 449 1063 15 2 57 74 15 2 57 74 15 2 57 74 1064 9 1,272 149 1,430 9 1,348 154 1,511 9 1,424 158 1,591 1065 55 20 163 238 55 20 163 238 55 20 163 238 1066 5 427 432 5 427 432 5 427 432 1067 22 44 42 108 22 467 346 834 22 889 649 1,560 1068 - 305 144 449 - 374 170 544 - 443 195 638 Community Development Department Indian River County [A% Comprehensive Plan introductory Element TAZ Employment TAZ # 2000 2015 2030 Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total 1069 71 311 685 1,067 71 311 776 1,158 71 311 867 1,249 1070 97 93 452 642 97 93 452 642 97 93 452 642 1071 26 114 230 370 26 114 249 389 26 114 267 407 1072 7 144 120 271 7 180 120 307 7 215 120 342 1073 236 898 459 1,593 276 898 501 1,675 316 898 542 1,756 1074 103 619 368 1,090 103 619 454 1,176 103 619 540 1,262 1075 521 354 1,001 1,876 521 418 1,135 2,073 521 481 1,268 2,270 1076 262 306 1,241 1,809 290 306 1,308 1,904 317 306 1,375 1,998 1077 179 478 782 1,439 194 530 805 1,528 208 582 827 1,617 1078 11 88 99 11 88 99 11 88 99 1079 14 145 159 14 353 367 14 561 575 1080 9 124 251 384 9 124 319 452 9 124 387 520 1081 34 84 309 427 34 106 394 533 34 127 478 639 1082 13 55 17 85 13 55 17 85 13 55 17 85 1083 3 265 28 296 3 300 80 383 3 335 131 469 1084 1 232 62 295 1 314 136 451 1 395 210 606 1085 - 4 142 146 - 4 142 146 - 4 142 146 1086 24 67 42 133 24 158 107 289 24 248 172 444 1087 433 647 108 1,188 488 672 195 1,354 542 697 281 1,520 1088 2 45 87 134 2 99 87 188 2 152 87 241 1089 55 8 64 127 55 8 64 127 55 8 64 127 1090 - 101 101 - 101 101 - 101 101 1091 45 174 591 810 45 190 624 858 45 205 656 906 Community Development Department Indian River County 691 Comprehensive Plan introductory Element TAZ Employment TAZ # 2000 2015 2030 Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total 1092 3 262 51 316 3 291 51 345 3 319 51 373 1093 47 317 100 464 47 328 100 475 47 338 100 485 1094 59 12 167 238 82 12 177 271 105 12 187 304 1095 38 52 415 505 38 52 428 518 38 52 440 530 1096 9 2 23 34 9 2 23 34 9 2 23 34 1097 25 4 62 91 25 4 62 91 25 4 62 91 1098 2 2 4 8 2 2 4 8 2 2 4 8 1099 - 3 29 32 - 3 29 32 - 3 29 32 1100 2 13 6 21 2 13 6 21 2 13 6 21 1101 - 61 61 - 19 61 80 - 38 61 99 1102 74 464 250 788 74 490 263 826 74 515 275 864 1103 557 376 187 1,120 658 415 225 1,297 758 453 263 1,474 1104 43 65 78 186 43 83 78 204 43 101 78 222 1105 7 5 41 53 7 5 41 53 7 5 41 53 1106 15 38 53 15 38 53 15 38 53 1107 4 4 79 87 4 4 79 87 4 4 79 87 1108 8 1 15 24 8 1 15 24 8 1 15 24 1109 13 2 89 104 13 2 89 104 13 2 89 104 1110 4 3 59 66 4 3 59 66 4 3 59 66 1111 1 3 8 12 1 3 8 12 1 3 8 12 1112 31 48 79 31 48 79 31 48 79 1113 104 177 68 349 137 201 68 406 170 225 68 463 1114 233 17 35 285 233 17 35 285 233 17 35 285 Community Development Department Indian River County 51 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TAZ Employment TAZ # 2000 2015 2030 Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total 1115 38 331 212 581 38 345 226 608 38 358 239 635 1116 107 81 32 220 112 126 73 311 117 170 114 401 1117 171 105 32 308 191 347 166 703 211 588 299 1,098 1118 14 5 27 46 14 5 27 46 14 5 27 46 1119 51 6 53 110 51 14 59 124 51 22 65 138 1120 12 8 36 56 12 8 36 56 12 8 36 56 1121 117 135 55 307 117 155 55 327 117 175 55 347 1122 29 16 13 58 29 56 68 153 29 96 123 248 1123 4 14 56 74 4 14 56 74 4 14 56 74 1124 4 35 34 73 4 35 34 73 4 35 34 73 1125 - 1 276 277 - 15 279 294 - 29 281 310 1126 114 155 126 395 114 177 126 417 114 198 126 438 1127 18 35 38 92 18 35 38 92 18 35 38 91 1128 16 43 116 175 16 151 144 311 16 259 172 447 1129 28 15 21 63 28 15 21 64 28 15 21 64 1130 19 3 12 34 19 3 12 34 19 3 12 34 1131 9 1 9 9 1 10 9 1 10 1132 173 40 232 445 541 197 232 969 908 353 232 1,493 1133 41 64 292 397 41 274 576 890 41 483 859 1,383 1134 46 583 57 686 399 1,415 357 2,170 751 2,246 657 3,654 1135 - - - - 1136 3 3 3 3 3 3 1137 - 73 73 - 210 59 269 - 346 118 464 Community Development Department Indian River County 52 Comprehensive Plan Introductory Element TAZ Employment TAZ # 2000 2015 2030 Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total Industrial Comm. Servic a Total 1138 - 556 56 612 - 636 145 781 - 716 234 950 1139 121 3 124 413 74 71 557 704 147 138 989 1140 - 2 2 - 2 2 - 2 2 1141 52 6 10 68 52 6 10 68 52 6 10 68 1142 36 5 37 78 36 5 37 78 36 5 37 78 1143 36 4 37 77 36 4 37 77 36 4 37 77 1144 32 4 33 69 32 24 51 106 32 43 68 143 1145 6 4 17 27 6 14 76 95 6 23 134 163 1146 57 66 26 149 75 113 202 390 93 159 378 630 1147 15 8 6 29 15 8 6 29 15 8 6 29 1148 67 132 142 340 67 355 417 838 67 577 691 1,335 1149 66 35 49 151 66 35 62 163 66 35 74 175 1150 19 3 13 35 101 3 30 134 182 3 47 232 1151 5 5 5 5 5 5 1152 4 5 4 5 4 4 1153 19 2 12 33 19 2 68 89 19 2 124 145 1154 19 3 12 34 19 3 562 584 19 3 1,111 1,133 TOTAL 9,479 15,625 23,824 48,928 13,266 21,857 33,313 68,401 17,013 28,044 42,760 87,817 FXommunity Development\Comprehensive Plan Elements\CLEANED UP COMP PLAN ELEMENTS Original copies 2030\Chapter 1 Introductory Element.doc Community Development Department Indian River County 53