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Comprehensive Plan Public School Facilities Element <br />Indian River County School Utilization <br />The projected student enrollment data were used to determine the need for school <br />facilities in light of the growing demands on public schools because of new residential <br />development. An evaluation of Indian River County's current school enrollment and <br />capacity in conjunction with projected student enrollment provided a determination of <br />surpluses and deficiencies over the long-term planning period. To accommodate the <br />projected future student growth, additional capacity projects were added to the School <br />District's Capital Facilities Plan through school year 204-1-13-4-21_4. These additional <br />capacity projects were used to balance future enrollment by redistributing students from <br />their existing schools to their future schools. Tables 12.8 — 12.11 shows the details of <br />this analysis. <br />Long Term Student Enrollment Projections <br />Long term student enrollment projections are provided in Table 12.12 and were prepared <br />to provide insight an estimate of potential school needs in the years beyond school <br />year 201-32-143. Those projections are based on an assumed annual growth rate beyond <br />the 201-32-143 school year of 4-.9.2.035% for elementary schools, 2.14% for middle <br />schools, and 2.05% for high schools. Thisese is-a-percentages4hat takes into account <br />fluctuations in the growth rate that the County may experience. The assumed 1.9074long <br />term growth rates for public schools i-sare less than the assumed long term population <br />growth rate used in the County's population projections because not all new residents that <br />move to the County will bring children with them. In addition, the long term projections <br />are generalized and do not take into account unforeseen circumstances. If fFor instance, <br />if -a large manufacturing plant re -locates to the County and brings with it 2,000 new jobs, <br />workers may relocate to the County from other areas of the state and country to fill those <br />jobs. Those workers may then have families that they bring with them which would <br />attend public schools. <br />Overall, the long term student enrollment projections show an increase of 3-,2W.,486 <br />elementary students, 11,778 middle school students, and 4-,847l .856 high school <br />students between school years 201-56-167 teand school year 2030-31. <br />Community Development Department Indian River County <br />21 <br />