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Comprehensive Plan Public School Facilities Element <br />Indian River County School Utilization <br />The projected student enrollment data were used to determine the need for school <br />facilities in light of the growing demands on public schools because of new residential <br />development. An evaluation of Indian River County's current school enrollment and <br />capacity in conjunction with projected student enrollment provided a determination of <br />surpluses and deficiencies over the long-term planning period. To accommodate the <br />projected future student growth, additional capacity projects were added to the School <br />District's Capital Facilities Plan through school year 2013-14. These additional capacity <br />projects were used to balance future enrollment by redistributing students from their <br />existing schools to their future schools. Tables 12.7 — 12.10 shows the details of this <br />analysis. <br />Long Term Student Enrollment Projections <br />Long term student enrollment projections are provided in Table 12.11 and were prepared <br />to provide an estimate of potential school needs in the years beyond school year 2012-13. <br />Those projections are based on an assumed annual growth rate beyond the 2012-13 <br />school year of 2.27% for elementary schools, 1.72% for middle schools, and 2.23% for <br />high schools. These percentages take into account fluctuations in the growth rate that the <br />County may experience. The assumed long term growth rates for public schools are less <br />than the assumed long term population growth rate used in the County's population <br />projections because not all new residents that move to the County will bring children with <br />them. In addition, the long term projections are generalized and do not take into account <br />unforeseen circumstances. If, for instance, a large manufacturing plant re -locates to the <br />County and brings with it 2,000 new jobs, workers may relocate to the County from other <br />areas of the state and country to fill those jobs. Those workers may then have families <br />that they bring with them which would attend public schools. <br />Overall, the long term student enrollment <br />elementary students, 1,214 middle school <br />between school year 2009-10 <br />Community Development Department <br />projections show <br />students, and 2,022 <br />and school <br />an increase of 3,561 <br />high school students <br />year 2028-2029. <br />Indian River County <br />17 <br />