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Citizens <br />Expansion <br />1 11 <br />We will leave to the sophisticated buyer of AAF bonds the decision about whether such numbers <br />are credible, when they have gotten so much "better" over the last four years. If AAF has an <br />explanation for the mismatch, it is not apparent from the materials provided to the FDFC in <br />connection with its approval of the new bond offering. <br />There's no word yet on what average ticket prices would be for the longer haul from Miami to <br />Orlando (approximately 235 miles) in Phase 11. However, if we take the fares from the 2013 <br />Louis Berger study and assume increases similar to the 2017 Louis Berger study, the numbers <br />are probably enormously higher but proportionately similar. <br />Timine — Other Factors to Consider <br />With respect to timing, two factors may have come into play with respect to the hurried nature of <br />the FDFCs October 27, 2017 decision to move forward on the $600 million PAB allocation. <br />First, the provisional allocation that DOT granted to AAF in November 2016 is due to expire on <br />January 1, 2018, so AAF's time was running out. <br />Second, the draft tax reform legislation unveiled by House Republicans on November 2 includes <br />a provision that would terminate all PABs issued after 2017. This provision was added to the <br />comprehensive tax reform bill as one of many "offsets" needed to pay for the overall legislation. <br />According to estimates from the Joint Committee on Taxation, eliminating PABs would increase <br />revenues by $38.9 billion over 10 years. <br />The Republican tax reform bill still has a long way to go before being enacted, and the provision <br />eliminating PABs could certainly be altered or eliminated as the measure makes its way through <br />the legislative process. However, its inclusion—and the possibility that AAF got wind of it <br />before the tax bill was officially unveiled—could explain why AAF moved into "hurry up" <br />mode, in order to be one of last entities ever to be able to take advantage of the crony capitalist <br />loophole that House Republicans are seeking to eliminate. <br />Tallahassee Review <br />CARE FL, Indian River County and Martin County appreciate JLAC's efforts to review this <br />issue, including the OPPAGA review of FDFC practices. We urge these entities to continue to <br />investigate the questionable practices of the FDFC, using the AAF PAB issue as a case study. <br />Please do not hesitate to contact us if we can provide you with additional information or answer <br />any questions, <br />1yf- / "2— <br />