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Comprehensive Plan <br /> Transportation Element <br /> Overall, the model validation process involved running the FSUTMS model to obtain predicted <br /> 2000-2010 roadway traffic volumes and then comparing those model-predicted roadway volumes <br /> to actual -2010 field-collected traffic counts. Based upon the comparison of predicted to <br /> observed volumes, minor changes were made to the model's parameters. This change in <br /> parameters allowed the model to approximate predicted roadway volumes to actual roadway <br /> volumes. Through this process, an acceptable projected-to-actual ratio was obtained. With this <br /> process complete, the model was then considered valid for the purpose of predicting future <br /> traffic levels using future-year socioeconomic data projections. <br /> • Needs Analysis <br /> The validated model was then run using 2039-2040 socioeconomic data and the existing and <br /> committed road network. This model run was performed to develop 2030 2040 traffic demand <br /> projections under the assumption that no capacity-producing roadway improvements would be <br /> made from 2010 2020 to 28382040. In other words, this model run assessed the impact of 20 <br /> years of growth on the existing and committed roadway network. This model run also identified <br /> roadway deficiencies resulting from the growth in travel demand over this 20-year time period. <br /> A deficient roadway is defined as any roadway having a level of service condition that exceeds <br /> the adopted roadway performance standard. With this process, all deficient roadways became <br /> candidates for potential future road widening projects and were tested to determine whether <br /> improvements were needed to maintain the adopted level of service standards through the year <br /> 20382040. <br /> In terms of output, the traffic model projects future year traffic volumes on all major roads in the <br /> county. For each roadway on the network, the model uses the projected traffic volume ("v") for <br /> the road (produced by the model) and the maximum acceptable capacity ("c") of the road to <br /> transform each of these raw volume projections into more understandable volume to acceptable <br /> capacity ("v/c") ratio. If the v/c ratio exceeds 1.0, the traffic volume of a roadway segment is <br /> projected to exceed the acceptable capacity of that roadway segment. While a v/c of 1.0 <br /> indicates that the traffic volume is just at the acceptable level of service, a roadway with a v/c <br /> much less than 1.0 has excess traffic capacity. In the latter case, more traffic could be <br /> accommodated, and the road would still function at an adequate level of service. <br /> 2000 2039 <br /> 40283 55962 <br /> 23201 28917 <br /> Hotel-Units2135 3-832 <br /> 82973 159921 <br /> 33183 48557 <br /> Hotel-Population 2135 3432 <br /> 23673 38444 <br /> 15625 28044 <br /> 23824 42760 <br /> Community Development Department Indian River County 78 <br /> APPENDIX A—Transportation Amendments <br />